Tickers

AGYS — Ticker Eval done nvidia/nemotron-3-ultra-550b-a55b:free

Requested 2026-09-21 10:46:20.591391 UTC · finished 2026-09-21 10:50:30.382424 UTC

1. Composite Trajectory Verdict

All three financial statements carry roughly equal weight for AGYS because the company is a recurring-revenue SaaS/hospitality software business where earnings quality, cash conversion, and balance-sheet resilience (debt elimination, equity growth) jointly signal trajectory.

Composite Trajectory: Improving

Annual revenue grew 16.1% in FY2025 and 15.9% in FY2026 to $319.3M (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Operations). Operating margin expanded from 6.6% (FY2024) to 8.2% (FY2025) to 13.5% (FY2026) (10-K FY2026, MD&A). Operating cash flow rose each year: $48.2M → $55.1M → $70.0M (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). The balance sheet shows debt reduced from $24M to zero, cash rebuilt to $116.9M post-acquisition, and equity grew from $265.9M to $326.8M (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Balance Sheets). Quarterly Q1 FY2027 vs Q1 FY2026 shows the same pattern: revenue +14.3% to $87.7M, operating margin 5.9% → 11.1%, operating cash flow -$4.3M → +$7.8M (10-Q 2026-06-30, Condensed Statements).

2. Red Flags

  • FY2024 net income of $86.2M includes a $65.5M deferred tax benefit from valuation allowance releases, making year-over-year net income comparisons misleading (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Operations).
  • Employee retention credits of $9.2M (FY2026) and $0.5M (FY2025) recorded in "Other (gains) charges, net" are non-recurring (10-K FY2026, MD&A; 10-Q 2026-06-30, MD&A).
  • Accounts receivable grew 37% to $43.1M in FY2026 vs 16% revenue growth (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Balance Sheets).
  • Effective tax rate jumped from 9.4% (FY2025) to 19.9% (FY2026) as discrete benefits normalized (10-K FY2026, MD&A).
  • Contract liabilities (deferred revenue) grew 17% to $83.0M, but the filing does not disclose how much is current vs long-term beyond the current portion (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Balance Sheets).

3. Earnings Assessment (Income Statement)

Earnings Trajectory: Improving

Overall Assessment -- Annual revenue increased 16.1% (FY2025) and 15.9% (FY2026) to $319.3M, driven by subscription/maintenance growth of 23.2% and 21.1% respectively (10-K FY2026, MD&A). Gross margin expanded from 60.7% to 62.4% to 62.6% over the three years (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Operations). Operating income more than doubled from $15.8M (6.6% margin) in FY2024 to $43.0M (13.5% margin) in FY2026 (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Operations). Quarterly Q1 FY2027 vs Q1 FY2026 shows revenue +14.3% to $87.7M, gross margin 61.7% → 63.5%, operating margin 5.9% → 11.1% (10-Q 2026-06-30, Condensed Statements of Operations).

4. Cash Generation Assessment (Statement of Cash Flows)

Cash Trajectory: Improving

Overall Assessment -- Operating cash flow grew each fiscal year: $48.2M (FY2024) → $55.1M (FY2025) → $70.0M (FY2026) (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). Free cash flow (operating cash flow less capex) rose from ~$40M to ~$68M over the same period (capex: $8.1M, $2.8M, $1.8M) (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). FY2025 investing outflow of $148.6M reflects the Book4Time acquisition; FY2026 investing normalized to -$1.8M (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). Quarterly Q1 FY2027 operating cash flow improved to $7.8M from -$4.3M in Q1 FY2026 (10-Q 2026-06-30, Condensed Statements of Cash Flows).

5. Balance Sheet Assessment

Balance Sheet Trajectory: Improving

Overall Assessment -- Cash and equivalents recovered from $73.0M (post-acquisition FY2025) to $116.9M (FY2026) and $123.7M (Q1 FY2027) (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Balance Sheets; 10-Q 2026-06-30, Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets). Non-current debt was eliminated: $24M at FY2025 → $0 at FY2026 and Q1 FY2027 (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Balance Sheets; 10-Q 2026-06-30, Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets). Total shareholders' equity grew from $265.9M to $326.8M to $338.3M over the three dates (10-K FY2026, Consolidated Balance Sheets; 10-Q 2026-06-30, Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets). Current ratio improved from 1.11x (FY2025) to 1.47x (FY2026) to 1.74x (Q1 FY2027) (derived from current assets/current liabilities in cited statements).

6. Data Gaps

  • No quarterly data for Q2, Q3, Q4 of FY2027 (only Q1 10-Q provided) -- would need subsequent 10-Qs.
  • No full FY2027 annual data -- would need FY2027 10-K.
  • Subscription vs maintenance revenue split not disclosed separately; only combined "subscription and maintenance" line provided.
  • No geographic revenue breakdown beyond "U.S. 87%, rest immaterial" in segment note (10-K FY2026, Note 14).
  • Contract liabilities not split between current/long-term beyond the current portion shown on balance sheets.
  • No disclosure of remaining performance obligations beyond the aggregate $152M figure at FY2026 (10-K FY2026, Note 3).
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