Tickers

DT — Ticker Eval done nvidia/nemotron-3-ultra-550b-a55b:free

Requested 2026-09-22 12:03:09.228482 UTC · finished 2026-09-22 12:08:16.505501 UTC

1. Composite Trajectory Verdict

For a subscription-based SaaS company like DT, the income statement (revenue growth, operating margin trajectory) and cash flow statement (operating cash flow and free cash flow generation) carry the most weight, as they reflect the core recurring revenue model and ability to self-fund growth and capital returns; the balance sheet is secondary but relevant for liquidity and leverage context.

Composite Trajectory: Mixed

Revenue growth remains strong and consistent at 19% year-over-year for the last two full fiscal years and 16% in the most recent quarter (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). GAAP operating income and margin have improved annually (9% → 11% → 12% operating margin) and held steady at 13% in the latest quarter (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Operating and free cash flow have grown at 18-22% annually and 14-18% quarterly (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Offsetting these positives, GAAP net income fell 24% year-over-year in Q1 FY2027 due to a sharp rise in income tax expense tied to share-based compensation shortfalls (10-Q Q1 FY2027), and shareholders' equity has declined $160.6 million since March 2026 driven by $275.5 million of share repurchases in the quarter (10-Q Q1 FY2027). The gap between GAAP and non-GAAP operating income remains wide ($245.4 million vs $591.9 million in FY2026) primarily due to share-based compensation (10-K FY2026).

2. Red Flags

  • Net income decline despite revenue growth: Q1 FY2027 net income dropped to $36.7 million from $48.0 million in Q1 FY2026 (-24%) while revenue grew 16%, driven by income tax expense rising to $44.2 million from $33.4 million due to share-based compensation shortfalls (10-Q Q1 FY2027, Condensed Statements of Operations).
  • Large and accelerating share repurchases reducing equity: $478.7 million repurchased in FY2026 and $275.5 million in Q1 FY2027 alone, reducing total shareholders' equity from $2.611 billion to $2.451 billion in three months (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027, Statements of Shareholders' Equity).
  • Wide and persistent GAAP vs. non-GAAP operating income gap: FY2026 GAAP operating income $245.4 million vs. non-GAAP $591.9 million; the $346.5 million difference is primarily share-based compensation ($299.6 million) and employer payroll taxes ($15.3 million) (10-K FY2026, Non-GAAP Financial Results).
  • Rising share-based compensation expense: Increased from $208.9 million (FY2024) to $271.7 million (FY2025) to $299.6 million (FY2026) annually, and $71.9 million to $73.6 million quarterly (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027, Share-based Compensation note).
  • First-time impairment of long-lived assets: $18.5 million impairment recorded in FY2026 related to leased office space write-downs, with no prior impairments in FY2025 or FY2024 (10-K FY2026, Results of Operations).
  • Effective tax rate volatility: FY2026 tax expense $137.1 million (45.7% rate) vs. FY2025 tax benefit of $260.3 million (negative rate) due to a one-time $320.9 million IP Transfer benefit; Q1 FY2027 rate 54.6% vs. 41.1% in Q1 FY2026 (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027, Income Tax notes).
  • Significant quarterly working capital swings: Accounts receivable fell $330.2 million (from $710.2 million to $380.0 million) and current deferred revenue fell $132.6 million (from $1.241 billion to $1.109 billion) in Q1 FY2027, reflecting seasonal billing and revenue recognition patterns (10-Q Q1 FY2027, Condensed Balance Sheets).

3. Earnings Assessment (Income Statement)

Earnings Trajectory: Mixed

Total revenue grew 19% year-over-year in both FY2025 and FY2026 ($1.431B → $1.699B → $2.018B) and 16% in Q1 FY2027 ($477.3M → $554.5M), driven by subscription revenue growth of 19%, 19%, and 16% respectively (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). GAAP operating income improved from $128.4M (9% margin) to $179.4M (11%) to $245.4M (12%) annually, and from $62.3M (13%) to $71.5M (13%) quarterly (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). However, GAAP net income was $154.6M (FY2024), $483.7M (FY2025, inflated by $260.3M tax benefit), and $162.7M (FY2026), showing only 5% growth over two years excluding the one-time benefit; Q1 FY2027 net income fell 24% to $36.7M due to a $10.8M increase in tax expense from share-based compensation shortfalls (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Subscription gross margin compressed from 86% to 85% annually and quarterly due to higher cloud hosting costs (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Operating expense growth (17% annually, 15% quarterly) roughly tracked revenue growth, with R&D accelerating to 23-26% growth (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027).

4. Cash Generation Assessment (Statement of Cash Flows)

Cash Trajectory: Improving

Net cash provided by operating activities grew 22% (FY2024→FY2025: $378.1M→$459.4M) and 18% (FY2025→FY2026: $459.4M→$561.9M) annually, and 14% in Q1 FY2027 ($269.7M→$306.2M) (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Free cash flow (operating cash flow less capex and capitalized software) grew 24% and 18% annually ($346.4M→$430.6M→$529.5M) and adjusted free cash flow grew 18% quarterly ($262.2M→$309.2M) (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). The operating cash flow increase in FY2026 was driven by higher collections from revenue growth, partially offset by working capital changes (10-K FY2026). Investing cash outflows declined sharply from $193.0M to $69.3M to $15.7M annually as acquisition spending slowed and marketable securities activity shifted; Q1 FY2027 saw $72.9M outflow due to the $99.5M Bindplane acquisition (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Financing cash flows turned negative in FY2025 (-$151.6M) and FY2026 (-$474.1M) and Q1 FY2027 (-$270.0M) due to share repurchases (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027).

5. Balance Sheet Assessment

Balance Sheet Trajectory: Mixed

Cash, equivalents, and marketable securities totaled $1.224B at March 31, 2026 and $1.156B at June 30, 2026, down $68M due to $275.5M of share repurchases partially offset by operating cash generation (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Total assets fell from $4.416B to $4.109B in Q1 FY2027, primarily from a $330M drop in accounts receivable (seasonal billing) and a $133M drop in current deferred revenue (revenue recognition) (10-Q Q1 FY2027). Total liabilities decreased from $1.804B to $1.659B, driven by the deferred revenue decline and a $14.6M reduction in accrued expenses (10-Q Q1 FY2027). Shareholders' equity declined from $2.611B to $2.451B ($160.6M) due to $277.1M of repurchases net of share-based compensation and option exercises (10-Q Q1 FY2027). Goodwill increased $63.0M to $1.413B from the Bindplane acquisition (10-Q Q1 FY2027). The revolving credit facility remains undrawn with $399M available (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027). Deferred tax assets remain high at $508.7M (March 2026) and $498.1M (June 2026), largely from the IP Transfer (10-K FY2026, 10-Q Q1 FY2027).

6. Data Gaps

  • Full quarterly income statement, cash flow, and balance sheet data for Q2, Q3, and Q4 of FY2026 (only Q1 FY2026 and Q1 FY2027 are provided in the 10-Qs)
  • FY2024 detailed balance sheet composition (only FY2025 and FY2026 balance sheets are fully presented in the 10-K XBRL)
  • Segment-level profitability or unit economics (company reports as single segment)
  • Billings or calculated billings metric (not disclosed; only revenue, deferred revenue, and cash collections)
  • Customer count, net new ARR, or churn metrics beyond dollar-based net retention rate
  • Breakdown of share-based compensation by award type (RSU, PSU, option) for quarterly periods
  • Detailed debt maturity schedule beyond the Credit Facility maturity (December 2027)
Long US-equity 13F disclosures only · up to 45-day reporting lag · sells = reduce/avoid, not short. JSON: /api/signals · /api/funds · /api/status