Tickers

FLOC — Ticker Eval done nvidia/nemotron-3-ultra-550b-a55b:free

Requested 2026-09-21 08:05:55.043119 UTC · finished 2026-09-21 08:11:29.843354 UTC

1. Composite Trajectory Verdict

All three financial statements carry roughly equal weight for FLOC: the income statement shows the earnings trajectory of a capital-intensive rental-and-sales business, the cash flow statement reveals whether operating profits convert to discretionary cash after heavy reinvestment, and the balance sheet tracks the deleveraging that followed the IPO and the large non-controlling interest that now sits in mezzanine equity.

Composite Trajectory: Mixed

Revenue and operating income have grown strongly on a reported basis (total revenue +120% YoY in 2024, +42% in 2025; operating income +49% then +28%), and operating cash flow has more than tripled over two years ($81.9M → $179.4M → $294.4M). However, operating margins have compressed steadily (32.2% → 21.8% → 19.6%) as SG&A and depreciation & amortization have grown faster than revenue. The balance sheet has deleveraged dramatically (long-term debt $635.9M → $167.8M), yet cash remains minimal ($4.5M) and a $1.13B redeemable non-controlling interest now dominates the equity structure. The earnings and margin trends are deteriorating while cash generation and leverage trends are improving.

2. Red Flags

  • Operating margin compression: Operating margin fell from 32.2% (2023) to 21.8% (2024) to 19.6% (2025) despite revenue growth of 120% and 42% respectively (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Operations).
  • SG&A growing faster than revenue: SG&A increased 90% YoY in 2025 ($62.5M → $118.6M) while total revenue grew 42% (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Operations).
  • Minimal cash balance despite strong operating cash flow: Cash and cash equivalents ended 2025 at $4.5M, essentially unchanged from $4.6M at end-2024, even though net cash from operations was $294.4M (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows).
  • Large redeemable non-controlling interest: Redeemable NCI of $1.13B (67.6% of Flowco LLC) sits in mezzanine equity as of 12/31/2025, with redemption value tied to Class A share price (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Balance Sheets; Note 10).
  • Tax Receivable Agreement liability accumulating: TRA liability of $22.0M as of 12/31/2025 with no payments made to date; 85% of future tax benefits from exchanges must be paid to Continuing Equity Owners (10-K 2025-12-31, Note 9).
  • D&A consuming growing share of revenue: Depreciation & amortization rose 59% YoY to $144.8M in 2025, representing 19.1% of revenue vs. 17.0% in 2024 and 18.0% in 2023 (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Operations).

3. Earnings Assessment (Income Statement)

Earnings Trajectory: Mixed

Reported revenue grew from $243.3M (2023) to $535.3M (2024, +120%) to $759.7M (2025, +42%), driven by the June 2024 Business Combination adding Flogistix and Flowco Productions for a full year in 2025 versus a partial year in 2024, plus organic surface equipment fleet growth (10-K 2025-12-31, MD&A). Operating income rose from $78.3M to $116.7M (+49%) to $149.0M (+28%), but operating margin declined each year (32.2% → 21.8% → 19.6%) as cost of rentals, cost of sales, SG&A, and D&A all grew faster than revenue in 2025 (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Operations). Net income increased to $131.7M in 2025, though $90.3M is attributable to redeemable non-controlling interests, leaving $41.4M attributable to Flowco Holdings (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Operations).

4. Cash Generation Assessment (Statement of Cash Flows)

Cash Trajectory: Improving

Net cash provided by operating activities more than tripled over two years: $81.9M (2023) → $179.4M (2024, +119%) → $294.4M (2025, +64%) (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). Capital expenditures (additions to PP&E) increased from $43.5M to $90.5M to $127.3M, but operating cash flow growth outpaced capex, yielding rising free cash flow (approximate: $38.4M → $88.9M → $167.1M). Investing outflows rose due to the $71.8M Archrock asset acquisition in 2025 (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). Financing activities consumed $94.7M in 2025, primarily $1.11B debt repayments offset by $461.8M IPO proceeds and $646.6M new borrowings (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows). Despite strong operating cash generation, the cash balance remained near $4.5M as surplus cash was directed to debt reduction, dividends ($6.7M), and share repurchases ($15.0M).

5. Balance Sheet Assessment

Balance Sheet Trajectory: Improving

Total assets grew modestly from $1.59B to $1.65B (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Balance Sheets). Long-term debt fell sharply from $635.9M to $167.8M following the January 2025 IPO debt repayment of $440.0M and subsequent $71.0M borrowing for the Archrock acquisition (10-K 2025-12-31, MD&A; Note 8). The total leverage ratio (debt / operating income + D&A) improved from ~3.1x to ~0.6x. Current ratio held steady (~3.3x) with current assets of $260.2M vs. current liabilities of $78.0M (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Balance Sheets). Redeemable non-controlling interest of $1.13B appeared on the balance sheet post-IPO, representing the 67.6% of Flowco LLC held by Continuing Equity Owners (10-K 2025-12-31, Consolidated Balance Sheets; Note 10). Total stockholders' equity attributable to Flowco Holdings was $228.6M. Cash remained minimal at $4.5M.

6. Data Gaps

  • Quarterly revenue, operating income, and margin trends for 2025 and 2026 (10-Q filings were truncated in the provided documents)
  • Segment-level profit trends for 2023 (only 2024-2025 segment profit disclosed in Note 16)
  • Standalone Q4 2025 and Q1-Q2 2026 cash flow and balance sheet movements
  • Detailed breakdown of the $56.1M SG&A increase in 2025 beyond the high-level buckets in MD&A
  • Schedule of future TRA payments and their cash flow impact
  • Covenant compliance metrics (interest coverage, total leverage ratio) for each quarter of 2025 and 2026
Long US-equity 13F disclosures only · up to 45-day reporting lag · sells = reduce/avoid, not short. JSON: /api/signals · /api/funds · /api/status